I've been training consistently for about 8 years now and have made tonnes of mistakes along the way. Mostly it was trying to gain too fast and just getting fat.
I have a naturally small frame and generally weighed about 9 stone my whole adult life - see my early post.
Once I got rid of the fat, I was down to 110 lb (7 stone 12!). Since then, I've gone to the gym more than 1000 times.
I just updated my bodyweight graph, which I've kept since ~2008:
As you can see, it's been a very mixed journey! I let myself get much too fat, hoping that I could build muscle faster that way. I got better as I went along and I think I've got it nailed these last couple of years.
If I take out all the "noise" of the fat periods, and just take my low (lean) points, I get this:
I've gained 20 lb (18%) of my starting (lean) weight in 7 years. 12 lb of that was in the first two years. The last 5 years has been much slower.
If you're heavier / bigger than me, I expect …
I've previously mentioned that I experimented with market timing to determine when to buy/sell stocks. See my posts on the topic - here, here, here and here.
That theory, and those indicators, was based on some simple backtesting I did with a few large indices, such as the S&P500 and FTSE, for which I was able to easily plot and get data for using Google Finance. Sadly, Google seem to have removed all their lovely charts and data, presumably under pressure from financial companies who earn money for providing data that Google was providing for free.
In any case, the backtesting I did at that time was manual - i.e. I would follow the graph and make a note of the trades once the indicators were hit.
I wanted to automate this process to make it easier to test different timings, so I made an epic spreadsheet (and learned some new Excel skills along the way):
Here's an extract of an exponential moving average and SSTO (slow stochastic) to indicate when to buy and when to sell …
In a very simplistic way, this makes sense. The UK is a fixed size, but its population is increasing, therefore prices go up. This is certainly the headline that's repeated endlessly on mainstream media. However, the subtlety that not everyone buys houses is lost in the noise. I doubt anyone under the age of 18 or over the age of 75 is buying houses for example. These days, it's also safe to assume that very few people under the age of 30 are either. (The average age of a first time buyer is now 30, compared with 23 in the 1960's.)
The other major factor in house prices is how much people are able to pay. Note that this is different from how much they are willing to pay. Unlike almost everything else we buy (with perhaps the exception…